Journal Publications and Reports

Improving parameter estimation, projection methods, uncertainty estimation, and epidemic classification
Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Prague, Czech Republic, November 29th – December 1st 2006.

Estimating uncertainty in national HIV burdens using Bayesian Melding
Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in London, UK, October 30th 2006.

Improvements to estimation packages
Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Glion, Switzerland, July 19th-20th 2006.
Is HIV out of control in the UK? An example of analysing patterns of HIV spread using incidence-to-prevalence ratios
Garnett GP, White PJ, Ward H

AIDS, 2006 ; 20 : 1898–1901
Short term estimates of adult HIV incidence by mode of transmission: Kenya and Thailand as examples
Brown T., Stover J., Gouws E, White PJ

J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr, 2006 ; 39(3) : 365-375
Improved methods and tools for HIV/AIDS estimates and projections
Walker N, Garnett GP, Ghys P

Sexually Transmitted Infections, 2006 ; 82 (Suppl 3) : 1-91

Improving estimates of national HIV burdens and ART need, and modelling the impact of prevention programmes
Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Athens, Greece, December 13-15th 2005.

Statement on the use of the BED-assay for the estimation of HIV-1 incidence for surveillance or epidemic monitoring
Statement following a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Athens, Greece, December 13th 2005.

Demographic issues in modelling HIV/AIDS epidemics
Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group held in Tours, France, 25-26 July 2005.

Methods and assumptions for estimates of children in need of treatment for HIV
Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections, and WHO HIV Treatment & Prevention Scale-up Team, held in Geneva, Switzerland, 2 March 2005.