Journal Publications and Reports

HIV: Consensus indicators are needed for concurrency
UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections: Working Group on Measuring Concurrent Sexual Partnerships

Lancet, 2009 ; 375 (9715) : 621

Estimation of the size of high risk groups and HIV prevalence in high risk groups in concentrated epidemics
Recommendations from a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, December 9^th and 10^th 2008.

Consultative Meeting on Data Collection & Estimation Methods Related to HIV Infection in Infants and Children
Report of a consultative meeting with UNICEF, WHO and the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in New York, USA, July 8-10^th 2008.
The Impact of Monitoring HIV Patients Prior to Treatment in Resource-Poor Settings: Insights from Mathematical Modelling.
Hallett TB, Gregson S, Garnett GP, Dube S

PLoS Medicine, 2008 ; Vol. 5, No. 3 : e53

Improving the EPP and Spectrum estimation tools
Improving the EPP and Spectrum estimation tools for the 2008-9 round of national estimates with specific attention to prevalence fits and their uncertainty, changes in the urban:rural population ratio, bias in HIV prevalence measured in national surveys, incidence estimates, orphanhood estimates, effects of ART; and a discussion on concurrent partnerships. Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in London, UK, February 28th and 29th 2008.
Improved data, methods and tools for the 2007 HIV and AIDS estimates and projections
A special supplement of Sexually Transmitted Infections with papers documenting the developments of the methods used by UNAIDS to produce HIV estimates for the Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic 2008.

P D Ghys, N Walker, W McFarland, R Miller, G P Garnett

Sexually Transmitted Infections, 2008 ; Aug;84 (Suppl 1) : 1-96
Estimating Incidence from Prevalence in Generalised HIV Epidemics: Methods and Validation
Todd J, Zaba B, Hallett TB, Lopman B, Mwita W

PLoS Medicine, 2008 ; Vol. 5, No. 4 : e80

Methods for estimation of ART’s impact on deaths averted/delayed; and Developments in EPP 2007
Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Baltimore, USA, July 13th 2007.

Estimation of orphanhood due to AIDS and non-AIDS causes and the impact of intervention programmes
Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Baltimore, USA, July 12th 2007
The appropriate evaluation of HIV prevention interventions: from experiment to full scale implementation
Hallett TB, Garnett GP, White PJ

Sexually Transmitted Infections, 2007 ; 83(Suppl I) : i55–i60