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  • Use of Heckman-type selection models to account for selective non-participation in HIV testing surveys

    Recommendations from a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections, held in Botson, MA, USA, April 3rd, 2012.

  • Consultation on network scale-up and other size estimation methods from general population surveys

    Report from a consultative meeting with UNAIDS, OGAC, CDC and USAID, held in New York City, NY, USA, March 27-29th, 2012.

  • Technical Review of Spectrum 2011 and Considering potential bias in DHS and ANC data

    Report and recommendations from a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections, held in Seattle, WA, USA, October 20th and 21st 2011.

  • Future tools for national estimates and epidemiological analyses

    Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in London, UK, January 19th and 20th 2010.

  • Paediatric estimation issues with a focus on ART need estimates

    Recommendations from a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Geneva, Switzerland, December 4th 2009.

  • Consultation on Concurrent Sexual Partnerships

    Recommendations from a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Nairobi, Kenya, April 20th and 21st 2009. Revised November 2009.

  • Estimation of the size of high risk groups and HIV prevalence in high risk groups in concentrated epidemics

    Recommendations from a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, December 9th and 10th 2008.

  • Consultative Meeting on Data Collection & Estimation Methods Related to HIV Infection in Infants and Children

    Report of a consultative meeting with UNICEF, WHO and the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in New York, USA, July 8-10th 2008.

  • Improving the EPP and Spectrum estimation tools

    Improving the EPP and Spectrum estimation tools for the 2008-9 round of national estimates with specific attention to prevalence fits and their uncertainty, changes in the urban:rural population ratio, bias in HIV prevalence measured in national surveys, incidence estimates, orphanhood estimates, effects of ART; and a discussion on concurrent partnerships. Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in London, UK, February 28th and 29th 2008.

  • Methods for estimation of ART’s impact on deaths averted/delayed; and Developments in EPP 2007

    Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Baltimore, USA, July 13th 2007.

  • Estimation of orphanhood due to AIDS and non-AIDS causes and the impact of intervention programmes

    Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Baltimore, USA, July 12th 2007

  • Improving parameter estimation, projection methods, uncertainty estimation, and epidemic classification

    Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Prague, Czech Republic, November 29th – December 1st 2006.

  • Estimating uncertainty in national HIV burdens using Bayesian Melding

    Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in London, UK, October 30th 2006.

  • Improvements to estimation packages

    Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Glion, Switzerland, July 19th-20th 2006.

  • Improving estimates of national HIV burdens and ART need, and modelling the impact of prevention programmes

    Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Athens, Greece, December 13-15th 2005.

  • Statement on the use of the BED-assay for the estimation of HIV-1 incidence for surveillance or epidemic monitoring

    Statement following a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections held in Athens, Greece, December 13th 2005.

  • Demographic issues in modelling HIV/AIDS epidemics

    Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group held in Tours, France, 25-26 July 2005.

  • Methods and assumptions for estimates of children in need of treatment for HIV

    Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections, and WHO HIV Treatment & Prevention Scale-up Team, held in Geneva, Switzerland, 2 March 2005.

  • Rates of mother-to-child transmission and the impact of different PMTCT [prevention of mother-to-child transmission] regimens

    Report of a consultation organised by the UNAIDS Reference Group for Estimates, Modelling and Projections, February-March 2005.

  • Development of EPPv2 and Spectrum, and Measuring and tracking concentrated HIV epidemics

    Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group held in December 2004.

  • Evidence and causes of declines in HIV prevalence and incidence in countries with generalised epidemics

    Report of a meeting of the UNAIDS Reference Group held in November 2004.

  • Natural history and mortality in HIV positive individuals living in resource-poor settings: a literature review

  • Technical report and recommendations: Methods and software to produce HIV/AIDS estimates in the era of population-based prevalence surveys

    Report from an ad hoc Reference Group meeting held in May 2004.

  • Technical report on improving estimates and projections of HIV/AIDS 2003

    Report on the progress made since the last major Reference Group meeting and recommendations for current policy and future research.

  • Orphans and AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa. New York, UN Population Division UN/POP/MORT/2003/9, 2003

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