Publications – UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections

HIV prevention where it is needed most: comparison of strategies for the geographical allocation of interventions
Hallett TB, Ghys PD, Anderson S-J, Ombam R

Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2017 ; Published online : 8 Dec
Spatial patterns of HIV prevalence and service use in East Zimbabwe: implications for future targeting of interventions
Gregson S, Schur N, Takaruza A, Nyamukapa C, Anderson S-J, Rhead R, Schaefer R, Masoka T

Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2017 ; 20(1) : 1-10

Modelling Paediatric HIV and the need for ART – October 2017 – Meeting Report
Meeting report and recommendations from a joint consultation with WHO, UNAIDS, and the UNAIDS Reference Group on the “Modelling Paediatric HIV and the need for ART”, held 19-20 October 2017 in London, United Kingdom

Method Development for the UNAIDS Estimates: October 2017 – Meeting Report
Meeting report and recommendations for the UNAIDS Reference Group Fall Meeting 2017, held 16-18 October 2017 in London, United Kingdom
Documenting and explaining the HIV decline in east Zimbabwe: the Manicaland General Population Cohort
Maswera R, Mutsvangwa J, Mayini J, Skovdal M, Schaefer R, Sherr L, Munyati S, Campbell C, Eaton JW, Nyamukapa CA, Hallett TB, Gregson S, Garnett GP, Takaruza A, Mason P, Mugurungi O, Rhead R

BMJ Open, 2017 ; 7 : 6 Oct
Joint estimation of CD4+ cell progression and survival in untreated individuals with HIV-1 infection
UNAIDS Working Group on CD4 Progression and Mortality Amongst HIV Seroconverters including the CASCADE Collaboration in EuroCoord 2017

Mangal T

AIDS, 2017 ; 31(8) : 1073-1082
Trends in the burden of HIV mortality after roll-out of antiretroviral therapy in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: an observational community cohort study
Martin-Onraet A, Herbst AJ, Bor J, Li ZR, Baernighausen T, Eaton JW, Reniers G, Slaymaker E, Zaba B, Hosegood V, Clark SJ, Calvert C, Blom S

Lancet HIV, 2017 ; 4 : E113-E121

Method Development for the UNAIDS Estimates: May 2017 – Meeting Report
Meeting report and recommendations for the UNAIDS Reference Group Spring Meeting 2017, held 16-17 May 2017 in Geneva, Switzerland.
Improved prediction accuracy for disease risk mapping using Gaussian process stacked generalization
Bhatt S, Gething PW, Cameron E, Flaxman SR, Weiss DJ, Smith DL

Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 2017 ; 14(134) : 20 Sep
The cost of not re-testing: HIV misdiagnosis in the ART ‘test-and-offer’ era
Eaton JW, Gregson S, Johnson CC

Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2017 ; 65(3) : 522-525
The potential impact and cost of focusing HIV prevention on young women and men: A modeling analysis in western Kenya
Hallett TB, Alsallaq RA, Buttolph J, Cleland CM, Inwani I, Agot K, Kurth AE

PLOS One, 2017 ; Published online : 2 April
Age-disparate relationships and HIV incidence in adolescent girls and young women: evidence from a general-population cohort in Zimbabwe
Eaton JW, Gregson S, Takaruza A, Nyamukapa C, Mugurungi O, Rhead R, Maswera R, Schaefer R

AIDS, 2017 ; 3(10) : 1461-1470
AIDS 2017 Supplement
UNAIDS Reference Group members and partners
Approaches and tools for 2016 country-specific HIV and AIDS estimates (April 2017).
UNAIDS sponsored supplement.
Issue containing editorial and 11 articles by UNAIDS reference Group members and associates.
Edited by K Case, S Gregson, P Ghys, M Mahy, and TB Hallett.

AIDS 2017 Supplement, 2017 ; Vol 31 Suppl 1 : S1-S102
The cost of not re-testing: HIV misdiagnosis in the ART ‘test-and-offer’ era
Eaton JW, Gregson S, Johnson CC

Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2017 ; 65(3) : 522-525
Identifying gaps in HIV service delivery across the diagnosis-to-treatment cascade: Findings from health facility surveys in six sub-Saharan countries
Michel J, Crampin A, Amek N, Todd J, Hosegood V, Nyamukapa C, Oti S, Church K, Machiyama K, Njamwea B, Mwangome M

Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2017 ; 20(1) : 1 Jan
Identifying gaps in HIV service delivery across the diagnosis-to-treatment cascade: Findings from health facility surveys in six sub-Saharan countries
Michel J, Crampin A, Amek N, Todd J, Hosegood V, Nyamukapa C, Oti S, Church K, Machiyama K, Njamwea B, Mwangome M

Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2017 ; 20(1) : 1 Jan
The relationship between HIV and fertility in the era of antiretroviral therapy in sub Saharan Africa – Evidence from 49 Demographic & Health Surveys
Eaton JW, Marston M, Zaba B

Tropical Medicine and International Health, 2017 ; 22(12) : 1542-1550